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Chapter 2 – First Move

  Aarav didn’t sleep much.

  Not because he was scared.

  Because his brain refused to stop calculating.

  The green interface stayed faintly visible even with his eyes closed. It wasn’t bright anymore—just present. Like a second layer over reality.

  At 7:02 AM, his alarm rang.

  Before he could even reach for his phone, the system updated.

  Sleep Quality: 54%

  Cognitive Efficiency: 79%

  Decision-Making Accuracy (Current): +6%

  He sat up slowly.

  “Decision-making accuracy?” he muttered.

  No response.

  So the system adjusted based on his condition.

  Interesting.

  He checked his phone.

  Three class notifications.

  One payment reminder.

  One message from his friend Rohan.

  Rohan: Bro urgent. Need help today.

  A small green flicker appeared over the message.

  Stress Level (Sender): 81%

  Intent Stability: 62%

  Financial Motive Probability: 74%

  Aarav’s eyes narrowed.

  Financial motive.

  So Rohan needed money.

  Or something involving money.

  He typed back: What happened?

  Three dots appeared instantly.

  Rohan: Come to canteen asap. Big thing.

  Big thing.

  Those words usually meant trouble.

  He stood up, washed his face, and walked toward the mirror.

  The system quietly displayed his stats again.

  Intelligence: 72

  Emotional Control: 83

  Risk Tolerance: 46

  Social Influence: 38

  Wealth: 12

  Confidence: 52

  Confidence increased by one.

  Probably because he hadn’t panicked last night.

  Interesting.

  He grabbed his bag and left the hostel.

  The campus buzzed with morning energy—students rushing, bikes revving, conversations overlapping. Normal world.

  But it didn’t feel normal anymore.

  Numbers occasionally flickered above random people.

  Academic Standing: 68%

  Relationship Stability: Low

  Hidden Frustration: 57%

  He exhaled slowly.

  This was overwhelming.

  Too much information.

  “Filter irrelevant data,” he whispered.

  The flickering reduced drastically.

  Only focused targets would now display.

  Good.

  Very good.

  When he reached the canteen, he spotted Rohan pacing near a corner table.

  Sweaty. Anxious. Checking his phone every five seconds.

  A faint overlay appeared.

  Current Stress: 84%

  This content has been unlawfully taken from Royal Road; report any instances of this story if found elsewhere.

  Financial Urgency: Confirmed

  Honesty Probability (Upcoming Conversation): 71%

  Seventy-one percent honest.

  Meaning 29% chance he’d lie.

  Noted.

  “Aarav!” Rohan rushed toward him. “Bro, thank God you came.”

  “What happened?”

  Rohan looked around before lowering his voice. “There’s a betting pool going on for the inter-college tech competition results.”

  Aarav stayed silent.

  “Someone leaked internal judging scores,” Rohan continued. “We can double money in two days. Minimum entry five thousand.”

  Five thousand.

  Aarav’s bank balance: ?1,327.

  Risk Evaluation Initiated…

  Scam Probability: 48%

  Short-Term Gain Probability: 39%

  Long-Term Consequence Risk: Medium

  Not great odds.

  “Who leaked the scores?” Aarav asked calmly.

  Rohan hesitated for half a second.

  Honesty Drop Detected

  Truth Probability: 58%

  “Senior from organizing committee,” Rohan said quickly.

  Liar.

  Or at least partially lying.

  “Name?”

  “Why does that matter?” Rohan snapped defensively.

  Defensive Response: 82%

  Concealment Probability: High

  Aarav observed quietly.

  Before the system, he would have reacted emotionally.

  Now?

  He was collecting data.

  “How much are you putting in?” Aarav asked.

  Rohan scratched his neck. “Ten thousand.”

  Available Funds (Rohan): 2,300

  Borrowed Funds: 7,700

  Desperation Level: Rising

  Borrowed money.

  This wasn’t confidence.

  It was panic gambling.

  Aarav leaned back in his chair.

  “What’s the predicted winner?” he asked.

  “Team Nova.”

  A small notification popped up.

  Public Favoritism Bias: 63%

  Underdog Statistical Upset Chance: 41%

  Forty-one percent upset chance.

  Not safe.

  He looked at Rohan carefully.

  “Who else is investing?”

  “Like twenty people already.”

  Exaggeration Probability: 67%

  Probably fewer.

  Aarav folded his arms.

  If he ignored this, nothing changed.

  If he joined blindly, high failure risk.

  He needed more information.

  “Send me the leaked scores,” he said calmly.

  Rohan hesitated.

  Trust Evaluation (Rohan toward Player): 52%

  Manipulation Intent: Moderate

  “Why?” Rohan asked.

  “To decide.”

  Rohan exhaled and sent a screenshot.

  Aarav opened it.

  Numbers. Scores. Judge comments.

  The system reacted instantly.

  Data Analysis Mode Available

  Activate?

  “Yes.”

  The text shifted.

  Some numbers turned faint red. Others green.

  Inconsistency Detected in Scoring Pattern

  Fabrication Probability: 36%

  Alteration Probability: 22%

  Authenticity Probability: 42%

  So not fully fake.

  But not reliable either.

  Then another layer appeared.

  Market Sentiment Analysis

  Betting Pool Distribution:

  68% on Team Nova

  19% on Team Byte

  13% Spread Others

  Public leaning heavily on Nova.

  If Nova won, payout pool small.

  If underdog won, payout massive.

  Risk vs reward.

  Aarav’s heart rate increased slightly.

  Heart Rate: 94 bpm

  Risk Appetite Rising

  He forced himself to breathe slower.

  “Calm.”

  Heart rate dropped.

  He looked at Rohan.

  “What if scores are manipulated to create false confidence?”

  Rohan blinked. “What?”

  “If someone leaked partial truth to push people toward Nova.”

  Rohan frowned.

  Cognitive Processing: Slow

  Susceptibility to Influence: 61%

  Easy to steer.

  Aarav leaned forward.

  “How much total pool money?”

  Rohan shrugged. “Maybe… two lakhs?”

  Estimate Error Margin: ±60%

  So maybe around one lakh.

  Still decent.

  Aarav’s brain began building scenarios.

  Option 1: Avoid completely. Safe. No growth.

  Option 2: Invest blindly. High risk.

  Option 3: Manipulate narrative.

  His eyes narrowed slightly.

  “Who manages the pool?” he asked.

  “Third-year guy. Manish.”

  A faint alert appeared.

  Manish – Reputation Index: 44%

  Prior Betting Complaints: 3

  Aggression Tendency: Moderate

  Not trustworthy.

  Good.

  Unstable systems could be exploited.

  Aarav stood up slowly.

  “I’m not investing,” he said.

  Rohan’s face fell.

  Friendship Strain Risk: 38%

  “But,” Aarav continued calmly, “I might help you increase your odds.”

  Rohan looked confused.

  “How?”

  Aarav’s mind moved quickly.

  “If Nova is heavily favored, odds payout will shrink. But if public shifts toward Byte…”

  Rohan’s eyes widened slightly.

  “You’re saying we spread doubt?”

  A small notification flashed.

  Ethical Deviation: Minor

  Strategic Advantage Potential: High

  Aarav didn’t smile.

  He just analyzed.

  “If confidence in Nova drops even 10%, Byte payout increases significantly.”

  Rohan swallowed.

  “You’re crazy.”

  Admiration Probability: 72%

  “Do you trust the leak?” Aarav asked.

  Rohan hesitated.

  “No.”

  “Then why follow the crowd?”

  Silence.

  The system calculated rapidly.

  Influence Opportunity: Active

  Social Influence Gain Potential: +4

  Interesting.

  This wasn’t just about money.

  It was about stats.

  Aarav leaned closer.

  “Send me the betting group link.”

  Rohan slowly handed over his phone.

  As Aarav entered the group chat, the system highlighted key individuals.

  Dominant Voice: Manish

  Doubt Spreader: Unknown

  Herd Mentality Level: High

  Perfect.

  High herd mentality meant easy shifts.

  Aarav typed one simple message:

  Anyone verified the authenticity of the scores? I noticed inconsistent judge patterns.

  Within seconds—

  Messages exploded.

  “What inconsistency?”

  “Source legit bro.”

  “Stop spreading doubt.”

  The system displayed:

  Group Confidence Level: Dropping 4%

  Manish Aggression Spike: 72%

  Manish replied instantly.

  Manish: If you don’t trust it, don’t play.

  Defensive.

  Weak.

  Aarav typed calmly:

  Not saying it’s fake. Just that Team Byte had higher innovation comments in round 2 but lower final score. Doesn’t align statistically.

  Silence.

  Then—

  “Wait he’s right.”

  “Yeah that’s weird.”

  “Show full sheet.”

  Confidence dropped further.

  Nova Bet Percentage: 68% → 61%

  Rohan stared at him like he was watching magic.

  “You didn’t even lie,” Rohan whispered.

  “I didn’t need to.”

  Truth, strategically placed, was stronger than lies.

  Within ten minutes, Byte’s percentage rose from 19% to 27%.

  Odds shifting.

  The system updated:

  Strategic Influence Successful

  Social Influence: 38 → 40

  Confidence: 52 → 54

  His first stat increase.

  Real.

  Measured.

  Earned.

  Rohan grinned nervously. “So now we bet on Byte?”

  Aarav looked at the shifting numbers carefully.

  Byte Win Probability: 41%

  Adjusted Payout Multiplier: 3.4x

  High risk.

  High reward.

  He checked his bank balance again.

  ?1,327.

  If he lost, he’d be nearly zero.

  But if he won…

  He inhaled slowly.

  The objective flashed faintly in his vision:

  Increase Liquidity by 300% within 30 Days

  Time Remaining: 29 Days

  He looked at Rohan.

  “Lend me two thousand,” Aarav said calmly.

  Rohan blinked. “What?”

  “You said you borrowed. Borrow two more.”

  Risk Tolerance Increasing

  Potential Reward: Significant

  For the first time in his life, Aarav wasn’t reacting to circumstances.

  He was shaping them.

  Somewhere at the edge of his vision—

  The small blinking dot returned.

  External Observer: Active

  Interest Level: Rising

  Aarav ignored it.

  For now.

  Because the game had officially begun.

  And this was his first move.

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